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Updated 4/16/14 2:19PM
04/14/14 - 04/18/14
04/21/14 - 04/25/14
04/28/14 - 05/02/14
05/05/14 - 05/09/14
* Any information is subject to change with out notice. All information posted here is subject to final confirmation by ADM. Please contact this location at the above number to confirm posted Information.
Market Intelligence
ADMIS Daily Grain Commentary
ADMIS Opening Market View & Video
Mixed/higher grain trade. US stocks, Dollar and most commodities are lower. Ukraine uncert could limit trade today.

Markets are closed tomorrow in observance of Good Friday.

About ADMIS Daily Grain Commentary
Marketing Partners Advisory
M.P.A 4/14/14 Position Update and Conference Call
Marketing Partners Advisory
Positions Update
April 14, 2014

All price recommendations below are futures price references (not cash equivalent)

2013-crop – We are 100% sold at Chicago May 2014 $5.09

2014-crop – We are 40% sold at Chicago December 2014 $5.18
Recommendation: sell 10% at Chicago December 2014 $5.24

2013-crop –We are 100% sold at Chicago May 2014 13.29

2014-crop – We are 40% sold at Chicago November 2014 $12.12
Recommendation: sell 10% at Chicago November 2014 $12.55

SRW – We are 100% sold at Chicago December 2013 $7.77
HRW – We are 100% sold at Kansas City May 2014 $7.96
HRS – We are 100% sold at Minneapolis March 2014 $7.20

SRW – We are 50% sold at Chicago July 2014 $7.16
Recommendation: sell 10% at Chicago July 2014 $7.50
HRW – We are 55% sold at Kansas City July 2014 $7.55
Recommendation: sell 10% at Kansas City July 2014 $8.00
HRS - We are 20% sold at Minneapolis December 2014 at $7.40
Recommendation: sell 10% at Minneapolis December 2014 $8.00

SRW – We are 20% sold at Chicago July 2015 $7.10
Recommendation: sell 10% at Chicago July 2015 $7.50
HRW – We are 10% sold at Kansas City July 2015 $7.25
Recommendation: sell 10% at Kansas City July 2015 $7.70
Recommendation: sell 10% at Kansas City July 2015 $8.00
Marketing Partners Advisory
Conference Call Recap
April 14, 2014

Don’t forget – these comments can be viewed via your smart phone or tablet – !

For the past couple of weeks much of the discussion of the grains and oilseed markets has been focused on the batch of USDA reports from late March through the release of the April WASDE report last week. In the background of these considerations were murmurs of some concern about dryness in portions of US HRW growing areas and some early season concern about spring planting delays in the US. Now that the release of the USDA reports is behind the market much of the discussion of future and longer term price developments will likely focus on weather developments as they impact northern hemisphere new crop grains and oilseed production.

In the immediate weather forecast there appears to be some optimism about planting progress in many areas of the US. The best opportunities may exist in the western US Corn Belt as the current forecast suggests a window of a couple weeks may be in the offing with warmer and dryer conditions supporting spring work. But therein may also exist further concern about the dryness issues which linger in portions of the US HRW growing areas. Many areas of US HRW production are now at a point in plant development which requires additional moisture to support optimal plant development. This does not appear to be in the forecast in the next couple of weeks. We anticipate this issue will begin to be considered in a negative manner and the market chatter will begin to define the extent of yield and production declines as a result of the adverse weather developments. However in the context of global wheat production potential the developments in US HRW growing areas may not materially impact the current expectations for global new crop wheat production to be historically large in the new crop year.

We continue to hear and see anecdotal evidence economic growth rates in China and other emerging markets are slowing. While difficult to measure the impact this may have on demand growth rates for global grains and oilseeds, we continue to anticipate slowing economic activity will likely also negatively impact demand growth rates for grains and oilseeds to some extent. This does not suggest global demand for grains and oilseeds will decline in the coming year, but demand growth may slow at a time when global planted acreage and the utilization of grains and oilseed production enhancing technology may be historically high.

The funds remain long meaningful amounts of grains and oilseed futures contracts. We find this to potentially be a bit problematic for prices if and when the weather conditions improve and the market begins to get reports of meaningful corn planting progress and plant development. We will also note the recent rain activity in many portions of the US Corn Belt which to this point has delayed spring planting progress, may quickly become very supportive to new crop development once the crop is planted.

Last week’s USDA April WASDE report once again suggested the US will continue to experience tight ending stocks of soybeans as the balance of the crop year evolves. However we also anticipate the industry is moving aggressively to address this issue when the economics of importing soybeans successfully are presented. There are a number of moving parts in this process as the industry measures SA soybean values, US soybean values, freight markets, timing, and logistics which allow this process to be completed successfully. The increase in US soybean imports presented in the April WASDE affirms this as a primary task of the old crop soybean market in the US as the crop year moves forward.

Best Regards – The Recommendations Group of Marketing Partners Advisory
About Marketing Partners Advisory
Doug Roose
ADM - Benson Quinn
BQCI Morning Comments

Corn started out mixed in the overnight and
continued to trade both sides of unchanged into the
morning pause. Following the resumption of trade at
830 price action was mostly negative with no fresh
supportive news offered to keep the bulls engaged.
Funds were reported as net sellers of 6,000
contracts today in corn. Easing tensions in...

Beans rallied for second straight day as US market is not
showing any sign of slowing demand or increasing imports fast
enough to resolve its tightening 13/14 balance sheet. China is still a
problem: overbought, no Letters of Credit, and cancelling and
defaulting on vessels. But that is South America’s problem as all
purchases US beans h...

Hard Red Spring Wheat
US wheat futures were lower overnight and mixed early in the
day session, but sold off sharply from mid-session on. The profit-
taking attracted on a push higher early in the day session developed
into efforts by the spec community to shed length. After adding risk
premium, and lots of it, for the better part of the last three sessions...

About ADM - Benson Quinn
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* Futures composite price shown, delayed at least 10 minutes.
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